2024 US Presidential Election: Joe Biden’s Low Approval Ratings Doesn’t Mean He'll Lose The Election

Recent polls indicate that a lot of people aren't happy with how President Biden is doing his job. In one poll by CNN, it showed that 49% of voters would choose Donald Trump over Joe Biden in the 2024 presidential election, where Biden got only 45%. This 4% lead is significant and not just a random error in the poll.

David Axelrod, an advisor to former President Obama, expressed concern about Biden's chances in the upcoming election. Despite some recent wins for Democrats in state elections, there's worry among Democrats about Biden's age (81) and his low job approval ratings. On average, only 41% of people approve of how he's handling things as president, while 56% disapprove.

However, we should be careful when looking at these polls. Historical data shows that approval ratings a year before the election might not accurately predict the final result. For instance, the chart in the article looks at the approval ratings of Republican presidents a year before their election and how it relates to their success in the electoral college. The electoral college is crucial because it decides the winner of the presidential election, not just the percentage of votes.

Apple AirPods Pro (2nd Generation) Wireless Ear Buds with USB-C Charging, Up to 2X More Active Noise Cancelling Bluetooth Headphones On Amazon Click HERE To More Information

The chart suggests a weak connection between approval ratings and electoral college success for Republican incumbents. Sometimes, even with low approval ratings, a president can still win by a significant margin, as seen in the cases of Richard Nixon in 1972 and Ronald Reagan in 1984.

While this historical data can provide some insights, it's not a foolproof method for predicting election outcomes. If we apply this model to Biden's current approval rating, it suggests he could get a 53% vote in the next election, securing a second term. But it's essential to remember that these predictions may not be entirely accurate.

In conclusion, it's not wise to get overly concerned about polling results a year before the election. The relationship between approval ratings and electoral success is complex, and many factors can influence the final outcome.